Mathematics is a language.
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He is deeply committed to never speaking about any statistic or numerical fact in a way that would suggest that it's important to understand how basic math works, or even that it exists at all.
But it is not just numbers, it is reality in general. No commitment to facts, to acknowledging "things as they actually are."
Math is used to solve problems, but "solving problems" is not his core value.
To be fair, reality itself is "anxiety inducing" for many.
I guess the math stands out to me more because I care about it.
And so much of it isn't debatable in any reasonable sense.
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Often we will pick out some instance of the president making a mathematical error. Abusing percentages, confusing billions and trillions... a lot of people nodding along pretending they agree and understand that he's making no sense... don't really know what we're so mad about. And they don't want to admit that since we make it so clear we think everyone who doesn't get it is hopelessly ignorant.
@futurebird I had an exterminator at my house once that was convinced ivermectin cured his COVID. I patiently explained survivorship bias and why his particular experience might not be everyone’s experience and… that’s why we do large clinical trials. I started the whole conversation by acknowledging that his experience was that he took ivermectin and got better, I didn’t dispute that.
He was genuinely surprised that, as a scientist, I didn’t lecture him on how “stupid” he was. On an individual level, people are often more reasonable and open to learning than you think based on the stereotypes of group XYZ.
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And perhaps there is something pretentious, anxiety inducing, something deeply nerdy and off putting about knowing your way around numbers. Speaking about them with care.
That's our fault, mathematics teachers. We can't keep traumatizing the youth and alienating people from mathematical reasoning.
It opens a door for some people to be seduced by the comforting notion that things that you don't understand can't possibly be important.
@futurebird When I was still teaching maths, there were a few things I liked to do specifically to reel in the students who had ended up internalizing a story that they were bad at maths and that maths was incomprehensible arcane magic only used by people with very special brains.
The first was to try to emphasize how *human* a lot of our conception of maths is. (It helps here that I'm not a mathematical platonist.) Why do we use base 10? Why did the practice of writing mathematical proofs first pop up in ancient India and Greece, even though eg. Babylonians had been using pretty advanced maths for millennia without bothering to prove anything? Why has so much of mathematical history been preoccupied with finding the "essence" of various constructs; is it just a coincidence that that came out of a culture that had a strong essentialist inclination?
The second was closely related to the first: Putting human faces on all these things. Did you know Pythagoras was deathly afraid of beans, and also that he was the leader of a weird cult? Or that Georg Cantor spent his later years trying to convince everyone that William Shakespeare was actually Francis Bacon writing under a cover name? That we have no reliable biographical information about Euclid at all, and that he may not have been a single individual at all? That Emmy Noether kept teaching out of her own apartment after the Nazis excluded her from the university? I've had many students - *especially* the ones less comfortable with numbers and pure maths - tell me that they could use some of all these little things as "handles" to jog their memories.
The third was to pose absurd questions that had non-obvious answers that maths clearly illuminated. Are there two people in Denmark who have exactly the same number of hair follicles on their heads? (There's about 150.000 hair follicles on an average Scandinavian head and about six million people in Denmark, so...). The story of Abraham Wald and the airplane armouring, the Linda Paradox, a Zombie Apocalypse version of the river crossing problem, etc.
Mostly, I tried to show students that maths is not an exclusive club at all. I won't say I succeeded evenly, but I know many of them appreciated it.
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So, when you point out innumeracy I think you should explain it with patience. Explain it understanding that some people who may be well informed and intelligent in other matters might not understand why, for example, decreasing by more than 100 percent is nonsense.
(100 percent is all of something. A 50 percent decrease is half. '100 percent decrease means' it's zero. Decrease by more than 200 percent? means it's less than zero, negative. Negative prices make no sense. )
knowest thou thy numbers, as thou knowest thy beasts, even unto the number six hundreds and threescore and six, thou shalt know thy numbers ...
all joking aside, I think we are saddled with an education system, a culture, and most importantly, a mass media culture, which has evolved to make people hate numbers.
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So, when you point out innumeracy I think you should explain it with patience. Explain it understanding that some people who may be well informed and intelligent in other matters might not understand why, for example, decreasing by more than 100 percent is nonsense.
(100 percent is all of something. A 50 percent decrease is half. '100 percent decrease means' it's zero. Decrease by more than 200 percent? means it's less than zero, negative. Negative prices make no sense. )
I agree.
Donald Trump is NOT a stupid man.
Really, he's not.
Okay sure, NOW he is struggling with dementia, but he's been playing fast and loose with numbers his whole career. It's a regular trait of con artists. It's like an anti-dog whistle to keep the attention of your marks and make them feel isolated from everyone else. To intentionally confuse use numbers to communicate facts with numbers to communicate vibes. For people like us who use numbers to communicate facts, we can't help ourselves but to go for the "Well Actually" when someone says "I'm going to lower prices 200%!" But for the people he's actually talking to, they understand what he's saying - "I'm going to lower prices a whole bunch".
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I agree.
Donald Trump is NOT a stupid man.
Really, he's not.
Okay sure, NOW he is struggling with dementia, but he's been playing fast and loose with numbers his whole career. It's a regular trait of con artists. It's like an anti-dog whistle to keep the attention of your marks and make them feel isolated from everyone else. To intentionally confuse use numbers to communicate facts with numbers to communicate vibes. For people like us who use numbers to communicate facts, we can't help ourselves but to go for the "Well Actually" when someone says "I'm going to lower prices 200%!" But for the people he's actually talking to, they understand what he's saying - "I'm going to lower prices a whole bunch".
As a teacher I find projecting intelligence on to other people can be very effective.
"You might not have thought about percents for a while, but I'm certain someone like you can see how ... "
Then fully explain it as you would to someone who didn't know how it worked. Invite people to join the "we get it club" instead of just laughing and keeping them out.
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So, when you point out innumeracy I think you should explain it with patience. Explain it understanding that some people who may be well informed and intelligent in other matters might not understand why, for example, decreasing by more than 100 percent is nonsense.
(100 percent is all of something. A 50 percent decrease is half. '100 percent decrease means' it's zero. Decrease by more than 200 percent? means it's less than zero, negative. Negative prices make no sense. )
@futurebird there are also patterns that make maths not inherently intuitive; if you increase something by 100% you double it, so you might make a reasonable assumption that if you invert that and decrease 100% you'd get back to where you started.
I.e. if an increase by 100% = x2
shouldn't a decrease by 100% = /2?Wrong, but not *obviously* wrong.
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So, when you point out innumeracy I think you should explain it with patience. Explain it understanding that some people who may be well informed and intelligent in other matters might not understand why, for example, decreasing by more than 100 percent is nonsense.
(100 percent is all of something. A 50 percent decrease is half. '100 percent decrease means' it's zero. Decrease by more than 200 percent? means it's less than zero, negative. Negative prices make no sense. )
@futurebird I have seen studies that show membership in a group stereotyped as not being good at something actually materially affected a person's performance in said areas. We tend to accept the stereotypes placed on us by society, on average.
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@futurebird I have seen studies that show membership in a group stereotyped as not being good at something actually materially affected a person's performance in said areas. We tend to accept the stereotypes placed on us by society, on average.
@futurebird In this case, I think many people simply identify with this amorphous "math is hard" group. And it is this more than how math is taught that affects the problem of innumeracy. Because I have seen people who have always done incredibly poorly with math at school but can recite endless sportsball statistics.
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As a teacher I find projecting intelligence on to other people can be very effective.
"You might not have thought about percents for a while, but I'm certain someone like you can see how ... "
Then fully explain it as you would to someone who didn't know how it worked. Invite people to join the "we get it club" instead of just laughing and keeping them out.
I'm always looking for ways to get better at explaining things without any hint of an implication that I'm doing it because I don't think that you know.
Enthusiasm can be a good tool here too. "this is just so neat I *need* to gush about it"
With men older than me I use "can you tell me if I've got it right?"
But the best (and most difficult) is making it as clear and simple as possible. So it doesn't seem like an explanation at all. It's just an extra sentence.
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@futurebird When I was still teaching maths, there were a few things I liked to do specifically to reel in the students who had ended up internalizing a story that they were bad at maths and that maths was incomprehensible arcane magic only used by people with very special brains.
The first was to try to emphasize how *human* a lot of our conception of maths is. (It helps here that I'm not a mathematical platonist.) Why do we use base 10? Why did the practice of writing mathematical proofs first pop up in ancient India and Greece, even though eg. Babylonians had been using pretty advanced maths for millennia without bothering to prove anything? Why has so much of mathematical history been preoccupied with finding the "essence" of various constructs; is it just a coincidence that that came out of a culture that had a strong essentialist inclination?
The second was closely related to the first: Putting human faces on all these things. Did you know Pythagoras was deathly afraid of beans, and also that he was the leader of a weird cult? Or that Georg Cantor spent his later years trying to convince everyone that William Shakespeare was actually Francis Bacon writing under a cover name? That we have no reliable biographical information about Euclid at all, and that he may not have been a single individual at all? That Emmy Noether kept teaching out of her own apartment after the Nazis excluded her from the university? I've had many students - *especially* the ones less comfortable with numbers and pure maths - tell me that they could use some of all these little things as "handles" to jog their memories.
The third was to pose absurd questions that had non-obvious answers that maths clearly illuminated. Are there two people in Denmark who have exactly the same number of hair follicles on their heads? (There's about 150.000 hair follicles on an average Scandinavian head and about six million people in Denmark, so...). The story of Abraham Wald and the airplane armouring, the Linda Paradox, a Zombie Apocalypse version of the river crossing problem, etc.
Mostly, I tried to show students that maths is not an exclusive club at all. I won't say I succeeded evenly, but I know many of them appreciated it.
@datarama @futurebird love this - the stories were my route into math because it turns out I *can't* care about some random equation but if there's a real problem that I want to solve and math can help, I'm capable of teaching myself from a book. (And I don't mean a "problem" like two trains passing going different speeds, etc. I always hated those and I still do.)
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@futurebird there are also patterns that make maths not inherently intuitive; if you increase something by 100% you double it, so you might make a reasonable assumption that if you invert that and decrease 100% you'd get back to where you started.
I.e. if an increase by 100% = x2
shouldn't a decrease by 100% = /2?Wrong, but not *obviously* wrong.
I recently saw a science video that said the star Trappist-1 is "1,800 times less bright" than our sun. I don't like this. I guess that would mean that its brightness is 1/1800th that of the sun, but saying it the way they did is confusing.
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I recently saw a science video that said the star Trappist-1 is "1,800 times less bright" than our sun. I don't like this. I guess that would mean that its brightness is 1/1800th that of the sun, but saying it the way they did is confusing.
It's confusing to use a large number to convey how small something is, I agree.
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So, when you point out innumeracy I think you should explain it with patience. Explain it understanding that some people who may be well informed and intelligent in other matters might not understand why, for example, decreasing by more than 100 percent is nonsense.
(100 percent is all of something. A 50 percent decrease is half. '100 percent decrease means' it's zero. Decrease by more than 200 percent? means it's less than zero, negative. Negative prices make no sense. )
@futurebird What do you reckon the percentage of people is who understand that the reverse of going up 30% is not going down 30%
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@futurebird What do you reckon the percentage of people is who understand that the reverse of going up 30% is not going down 30%
Among adults? At least like 70 percent. It's not obvious, and in many cases the numerical difference isn't that great...
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@futurebird What do you reckon the percentage of people is who understand that the reverse of going up 30% is not going down 30%
This is one of the neat wrinkles of how percentages work, but I think the most important thing to understand about percents is that they allow us to compare changes in quantities of different sizes.
1,000 people moving to NYC isn't the same as 1,000 people moving to a town with a population of 300.
How do you compare those population increases in a way that makes sense?
A fraction could work, but using a fraction out of 100 is very practical and easy to understand.
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Mathematics is a language. But innumeracy is also a language and our president is fluent.
It's not just that he exaggerates, lies, and says things that make no sense when talking about numbers "often" no this is something deeper.
He is deeply committed to *never* speaking about any statistic or numerical fact in a way that would suggest that it's important to understand how basic math works, or even that it exists at all.
This isn't just ignorance or laziness, it's one of his core values.
@futurebird He's literally done this billions of times.
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@futurebird He's literally done this billions of times.
It just keeps increasing very strongly. He never uses numbers correctly they are 1000 percent more wrong every day. We are seeing this happening worse and worse it's going down to levels of incorrect that have never been seen.