A thing I think about.
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A thing I think about.
Premises:
- Many people in "AI" believe (or claim to) that if you simply upscale the existing neural network models by one more order of magnitude there will be a phase change and it will suddenly start acting like a human, or a God
- A huge suite of "AI datacenters" that would upscale by such an order of magnitude are being built
- There is a coming economic crash/correction which will likely come before those datacenters come online, and halt their growth.
(1/2)
-
A thing I think about.
Premises:
- Many people in "AI" believe (or claim to) that if you simply upscale the existing neural network models by one more order of magnitude there will be a phase change and it will suddenly start acting like a human, or a God
- A huge suite of "AI datacenters" that would upscale by such an order of magnitude are being built
- There is a coming economic crash/correction which will likely come before those datacenters come online, and halt their growth.
(1/2)
Conclusion:
- There is a plausible future where the AI bubble pops, the size and commonness of large language models go down, and a group of dead-enders forever holds onto a near-millenarian belief we were on the cusp of creating "AGI", or creating God, if only the economic collapse (possibly presented, rather than a natural economic process as backstabbing by a group of luddites) had not stopped the "AI data center" buildout just as it was starting to work
(2/2)
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