Wow, that early vote!
-
Wow, that early vote!
#NYCMayor #NYCMayoralPrimary #NYCMayoralRace #NYCPol #ZohranMamdani
-
Wow, that early vote!
#NYCMayor #NYCMayoralPrimary #NYCMayoralRace #NYCPol #ZohranMamdani
-
For the record, the 2021 mayoral primary had 942k votes (and people weren't super excited about it, either). I expect we'll surpass that tonight?
For tonight's primary, we're currently at 412k votes counted.
-
So here's where we get to test cross endorsements. Any candidate that gets > 50% is the clear winner. Without that, you start dropping candidates from the race & look at second choice rankings.
With 80% of results in, Mamdani is at 43%. To cross the 50% threshold, he would need another 55k votes. Lander has 105k votes. If Lander gets dropped but at least half of the people in that list ranked Lander #1 & Mamdani #2, Mamdani would win. Remember, they cross-endorsed & campaigned together.
-
So here's where we get to test cross endorsements. Any candidate that gets > 50% is the clear winner. Without that, you start dropping candidates from the race & look at second choice rankings.
With 80% of results in, Mamdani is at 43%. To cross the 50% threshold, he would need another 55k votes. Lander has 105k votes. If Lander gets dropped but at least half of the people in that list ranked Lander #1 & Mamdani #2, Mamdani would win. Remember, they cross-endorsed & campaigned together.
@Andres4NY Does anyone have vote total prediction numbers? But yeah, seems like Lander voters will likely break Mamdani.
Also: do you have any idea why the bronx is being so silly for Cuomo? WTF?
-
@Andres4NY Does anyone have vote total prediction numbers? But yeah, seems like Lander voters will likely break Mamdani.
Also: do you have any idea why the bronx is being so silly for Cuomo? WTF?
Turn out here is low. Mostly old people who always vote. And half of the the Bronx is kind of suburban.
-
Turn out here is low. Mostly old people who always vote. And half of the the Bronx is kind of suburban.
I always vote, and Cuomo sent me 8 ugly glossy fliers. Called me twice and had three people on the corner littering all over the place with more paper nobody wanted.
And he had a bunch of miserable people doing fliers who clearly didn't care and were being paid $8 an hour to stand in 100 degree heat.
None of the fliers said anything that I cared about at all. Not one.
-
I always vote, and Cuomo sent me 8 ugly glossy fliers. Called me twice and had three people on the corner littering all over the place with more paper nobody wanted.
And he had a bunch of miserable people doing fliers who clearly didn't care and were being paid $8 an hour to stand in 100 degree heat.
None of the fliers said anything that I cared about at all. Not one.
There were also three obvious Cuomo push polls which I told wild lies on.
-
There were also three obvious Cuomo push polls which I told wild lies on.
-
I talked their ear off about how much it annoys me that everyone calls it the "East River" rather than the "East Side Tidal Estuary" ... OK that bit wasn't a lie but normally I don't bring it up.
(IT'S NOT A RIVER DAMMIT)
-
F myrmepropagandist shared this topic