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Chebucto Regional Softball Club

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  3. This guy generally does interesting work, but he's used an LLM to analyze the trends in a "creation science" journal over time, and I just don't think LLMs are effective for this kind of statistical task.
A forum for discussing and organizing recreational softball and baseball games and leagues in the greater Halifax area.

This guy generally does interesting work, but he's used an LLM to analyze the trends in a "creation science" journal over time, and I just don't think LLMs are effective for this kind of statistical task.

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  • SmoljaguarS Smoljaguar

    @futurebird if you're talking about using LLMs as a classifier for arbitrary text, I've seen yougov do it for some polls where they ask people about what they've read in the news recently and the LLM classifies what topics were mentioned, this ability is advertised here https://yougov.com/business/products/ai-qualitative-explorer
    Also I've seen data science articles from the economist using basically the same idea on larger corpuses of text. I think empirically the best LLMs today are very good at modelling humans so this is ~fine?

    myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
    myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
    myrmepropagandist
    wrote last edited by
    #11

    @Smoljaguar

    Wouldn't you need to ask it about each article individually and track the results?

    Not just give it a stack of articles and ask "how many of the articles mentioned X" ?

    SmoljaguarS 1 Reply Last reply
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    • ? Offline
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      wrote last edited by
      #12

      Seems like the more people pride themselves on spotting nonsense, the more they seem to be advocating this shit these days. People have entered into this weird phase of mass AI hysteria and only those that don't use it at all are sitting here like... Am I crazy or are the hoards of AI enthusiasts crazy? It's gotta be one or the other.

      myrmepropagandistF 1 Reply Last reply
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      • ? Guest

        Seems like the more people pride themselves on spotting nonsense, the more they seem to be advocating this shit these days. People have entered into this weird phase of mass AI hysteria and only those that don't use it at all are sitting here like... Am I crazy or are the hoards of AI enthusiasts crazy? It's gotta be one or the other.

        myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
        myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
        myrmepropagandist
        wrote last edited by
        #13

        @grimacing

        I don't think this guy is an enthusiast, he's just using a tool in a way that seems reasonable and that seems to give the results he wants without really knowing what those results really represent.

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        • ? Offline
          ? Offline
          Guest
          wrote last edited by
          #14

          That's not even the point of what I said at all, but nm.

          myrmepropagandistF 1 Reply Last reply
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          • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

            @Smoljaguar

            Wouldn't you need to ask it about each article individually and track the results?

            Not just give it a stack of articles and ask "how many of the articles mentioned X" ?

            SmoljaguarS This user is from outside of this forum
            SmoljaguarS This user is from outside of this forum
            Smoljaguar
            wrote last edited by
            #15

            @futurebird yeah, that's what the correct thing to do would be, but it is still plausible that it could do the second, it's just more likely to make a mistake (though I think a task of this difficulty is pretty doable for current models with huge contexts (1M tokens), unlike older/cheaper models which had severe quality drop offs after maybe 10k tokens)

            myrmepropagandistF 1 Reply Last reply
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            • SmoljaguarS Smoljaguar

              @futurebird yeah, that's what the correct thing to do would be, but it is still plausible that it could do the second, it's just more likely to make a mistake (though I think a task of this difficulty is pretty doable for current models with huge contexts (1M tokens), unlike older/cheaper models which had severe quality drop offs after maybe 10k tokens)

              myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
              myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
              myrmepropagandist
              wrote last edited by
              #16

              @Smoljaguar

              If it says there are 67 articles that mention topic X, but you don't know if that number is correct, it's just a guess based on context and the bulk of text (and LLMs are also bad at following commands such as "consider only these sources" ... ) what is the point of saying the number.

              Maybe could you ask if a topic is mentioned "frequently" or "infrequently" but beyond that I think it's deceptive and useless.

              VirginicusV 1 Reply Last reply
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              • ? Guest

                That's not even the point of what I said at all, but nm.

                myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                myrmepropagandist
                wrote last edited by
                #17

                @grimacing

                Sorry I thought you were referencing the original post.

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                • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

                  @Smoljaguar

                  If it says there are 67 articles that mention topic X, but you don't know if that number is correct, it's just a guess based on context and the bulk of text (and LLMs are also bad at following commands such as "consider only these sources" ... ) what is the point of saying the number.

                  Maybe could you ask if a topic is mentioned "frequently" or "infrequently" but beyond that I think it's deceptive and useless.

                  VirginicusV This user is from outside of this forum
                  VirginicusV This user is from outside of this forum
                  Virginicus
                  wrote last edited by
                  #18

                  @futurebird @Smoljaguar I’d do it with a loop. For each document, does it contain X, Y or Z? I’d end up with a table of document names and booleans.

                  myrmepropagandistF 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • VirginicusV Virginicus

                    @futurebird @Smoljaguar I’d do it with a loop. For each document, does it contain X, Y or Z? I’d end up with a table of document names and booleans.

                    myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                    myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                    myrmepropagandist
                    wrote last edited by
                    #19

                    @Virginicus @Smoljaguar

                    I wonder if there is an API for any of the free models. Although I hate interacting with cloud APIs

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

                      @Moss

                      Damn thing will sit there and tell you that's what it's doing.

                      But it can't count! It still can't count. I feel like I'm going crazy. Am I the only person who cares that the machine can't even count?

                      Dawn AhukannaD This user is from outside of this forum
                      Dawn AhukannaD This user is from outside of this forum
                      Dawn Ahukanna
                      wrote last edited by
                      #20

                      @futurebird @Moss
                      “ But it can't count! It still can't count. I feel like I'm going crazy. Am I the only person who cares that the machine can't even count?” -
                      I also feel deep incredulity towards this corporate-grade “confabulation”.

                      David Chisnall (*Now with 50% more sarcasm!*)D 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist shared this topic
                      • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

                        I mean LLMs are based on statistics, and they will produce results that look like frequency charts. But these charts only attempt to approximate the expected content. They aren't based on counting articles that meet any set of criteria.

                        It's... nonsense, and not even people who pride themselves on spotting nonsense seem to understand this.

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                        wrote last edited by
                        #21

                        @futurebird regrettably being that guy:

                        In context of how LLM deep research workflows are built, I do think you might need to show your work on this claim more than OP does

                        The model is not the only operative mechanism in such an investigation

                        In that approach, the model would be invoking (deterministic) tools that, among other things, could log instances of topic areas encountered within a corpus. OP says they are capturing abstracts and authors and grouping them by year. Objectively this category of work is something these tools can be built to do really well, including citations (to real, verifiable URLs). Statistical modeling tasks, including text analysis, can be offloaded to one-off scripts written and executed specifically for a requested job. Perhaps the model can’t tell you the “R” count in strawberry, but it can write Python which does quite well

                        Moreover, it is possible to objectively evaluate the performance of these tools for such tasks (and Anthropic, vendor of OP’s research tool, does this)

                        I mention all of this because I find this particular flavor of strawman quite pernicious: the limitations of the raw model architecture are entirely possible to mitigate through larger agent and tool scaffolding, and this work is constant, ongoing, and often quite effective. Critique of the technology and its vendors (essential) is meanwhile less effective when claims like this are so easily disproved by experience, usage, and public information

                        Here’s a bit more detail on the architecture point.

                        Link Preview Image
                        How we built our multi-agent research system

                        On the the engineering challenges and lessons learned from building Claude's Research system

                        favicon

                        (www.anthropic.com)

                        myrmepropagandistF 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • ? Guest

                          @futurebird regrettably being that guy:

                          In context of how LLM deep research workflows are built, I do think you might need to show your work on this claim more than OP does

                          The model is not the only operative mechanism in such an investigation

                          In that approach, the model would be invoking (deterministic) tools that, among other things, could log instances of topic areas encountered within a corpus. OP says they are capturing abstracts and authors and grouping them by year. Objectively this category of work is something these tools can be built to do really well, including citations (to real, verifiable URLs). Statistical modeling tasks, including text analysis, can be offloaded to one-off scripts written and executed specifically for a requested job. Perhaps the model can’t tell you the “R” count in strawberry, but it can write Python which does quite well

                          Moreover, it is possible to objectively evaluate the performance of these tools for such tasks (and Anthropic, vendor of OP’s research tool, does this)

                          I mention all of this because I find this particular flavor of strawman quite pernicious: the limitations of the raw model architecture are entirely possible to mitigate through larger agent and tool scaffolding, and this work is constant, ongoing, and often quite effective. Critique of the technology and its vendors (essential) is meanwhile less effective when claims like this are so easily disproved by experience, usage, and public information

                          Here’s a bit more detail on the architecture point.

                          Link Preview Image
                          How we built our multi-agent research system

                          On the the engineering challenges and lessons learned from building Claude's Research system

                          favicon

                          (www.anthropic.com)

                          myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                          myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                          myrmepropagandist
                          wrote last edited by
                          #22

                          @danilo

                          Is that what the guy in the video is doing?

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                          • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

                            @danilo

                            Is that what the guy in the video is doing?

                            ? Offline
                            ? Offline
                            Guest
                            wrote last edited by
                            #23

                            @futurebird according to what he describes in the methods section of the video, he is doing an entirely plausible research task with a tool well suited to it, yes

                            The post I linked describes how it works

                            myrmepropagandistF 1 Reply Last reply
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                            • ? Guest

                              @futurebird according to what he describes in the methods section of the video, he is doing an entirely plausible research task with a tool well suited to it, yes

                              The post I linked describes how it works

                              myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                              myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                              myrmepropagandist
                              wrote last edited by
                              #24

                              @danilo

                              OK but he's saying things about it counting articles (frequency) and when I used the same tool it could not do that accurately. It couldn't even follow a command to restrict the dataset. It do not sound like he used some kind of API to make this kind of task possible.

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                              • Dawn AhukannaD Dawn Ahukanna

                                @futurebird @Moss
                                “ But it can't count! It still can't count. I feel like I'm going crazy. Am I the only person who cares that the machine can't even count?” -
                                I also feel deep incredulity towards this corporate-grade “confabulation”.

                                David Chisnall (*Now with 50% more sarcasm!*)D This user is from outside of this forum
                                David Chisnall (*Now with 50% more sarcasm!*)D This user is from outside of this forum
                                David Chisnall (*Now with 50% more sarcasm!*)
                                wrote last edited by
                                #25

                                @dahukanna @futurebird @Moss

                                It’s a shame that it lists summarisation as something LLMs are good at, when all of the studies that measure this show the opposite. LLMs are good at turning text into less text, but summarisation is the process of extracting the key points from text. LLMs will extract things that are shaped in the same way as a statistically large number of key points in the training set but they don’t understand either the text of the document or your context for requesting a summary and so are very likely to discard the thing that you think is most important. They also have a habit of inverting the meaning of sentences when shrinking them.

                                myrmepropagandistF 3 Replies Last reply
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                                • David Chisnall (*Now with 50% more sarcasm!*)D David Chisnall (*Now with 50% more sarcasm!*)

                                  @dahukanna @futurebird @Moss

                                  It’s a shame that it lists summarisation as something LLMs are good at, when all of the studies that measure this show the opposite. LLMs are good at turning text into less text, but summarisation is the process of extracting the key points from text. LLMs will extract things that are shaped in the same way as a statistically large number of key points in the training set but they don’t understand either the text of the document or your context for requesting a summary and so are very likely to discard the thing that you think is most important. They also have a habit of inverting the meaning of sentences when shrinking them.

                                  myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                                  myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                                  myrmepropagandist
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #26

                                  @david_chisnall @dahukanna @Moss

                                  Why do I have to write the software guide for Google and Sora?

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • David Chisnall (*Now with 50% more sarcasm!*)D David Chisnall (*Now with 50% more sarcasm!*)

                                    @dahukanna @futurebird @Moss

                                    It’s a shame that it lists summarisation as something LLMs are good at, when all of the studies that measure this show the opposite. LLMs are good at turning text into less text, but summarisation is the process of extracting the key points from text. LLMs will extract things that are shaped in the same way as a statistically large number of key points in the training set but they don’t understand either the text of the document or your context for requesting a summary and so are very likely to discard the thing that you think is most important. They also have a habit of inverting the meaning of sentences when shrinking them.

                                    myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                                    myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                                    myrmepropagandist
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #27

                                    @david_chisnall @dahukanna @Moss

                                    Likewise the second question is what the guy in the video at the start of the post *thought* he was doing. But, by introducing counting articles into the task it became something else.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • David Chisnall (*Now with 50% more sarcasm!*)D David Chisnall (*Now with 50% more sarcasm!*)

                                      @dahukanna @futurebird @Moss

                                      It’s a shame that it lists summarisation as something LLMs are good at, when all of the studies that measure this show the opposite. LLMs are good at turning text into less text, but summarisation is the process of extracting the key points from text. LLMs will extract things that are shaped in the same way as a statistically large number of key points in the training set but they don’t understand either the text of the document or your context for requesting a summary and so are very likely to discard the thing that you think is most important. They also have a habit of inverting the meaning of sentences when shrinking them.

                                      myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                                      myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                                      myrmepropagandist
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #28

                                      @david_chisnall @dahukanna @Moss

                                      I'm not an AI prohibitionist or "hater" however I keep finding the effective use case is much much much more narrow than the UI we have been shown to use these tools would suggest.

                                      And a lot of people really seem to find it "easier" than searching the web, which, given the current state of the web isn't saying very much.

                                      Has web search been broken to push everyone to the chatbots? (adjusting my tin foil cap here)

                                      myrmepropagandistF 1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • myrmepropagandistF myrmepropagandist

                                        @david_chisnall @dahukanna @Moss

                                        I'm not an AI prohibitionist or "hater" however I keep finding the effective use case is much much much more narrow than the UI we have been shown to use these tools would suggest.

                                        And a lot of people really seem to find it "easier" than searching the web, which, given the current state of the web isn't saying very much.

                                        Has web search been broken to push everyone to the chatbots? (adjusting my tin foil cap here)

                                        myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                                        myrmepropagandistF This user is from outside of this forum
                                        myrmepropagandist
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #29

                                        @david_chisnall @dahukanna @Moss

                                        Imagine inventing electricity and you just give people a live wire to play with.

                                        "people are killing themselves"
                                        "but look, some of them use the wire carefully to power cool and useful machines. why are you a hater?"

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