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Astronomers have completed more observations of asteroid 2024 YR4, charting its future trajectory with even more accuracy.
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Astronomers have completed more observations of asteroid 2024 YR4, charting its future trajectory with even more accuracy. Previous estimates put the chance of an impact with Earth in 2032 as high as 2.8%. The new conclusion is that the asteroid's chance of striking Earth is down to 0.001%. This is a very common story: when an asteroid is first found, the uncertainty is high, and it could be a future threat to Earth. Then, later observations bring that down to zero.
Asteroid 2024 YR4 no longer poses significant impact risk
The latest analysis from the European Space Agency (ESA) Planetary Defence Office has reduced the probability that asteroid 2024 YR4 might impact Earth in 2032 to 0.001%.
(www.esa.int)
